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Lower inflation, reduced interest rates to extend broader support to India's domestic demand

September 13, 2025

New Delhi, Sep 13

Lower headline inflation and reduced interest rates are set to extend broader support to domestic demand in the economy amidst global headwinds, a report has said.

The headline inflation is now projected at 3.2 per cent in fiscal 2026, down from the earlier estimate of 3.5 per cent. This results in a 140 basis points (1.4 percentage points) decline in CPI inflation for this fiscal year, according to the report from ratings agency Crisil.

"This sharp moderation implies a sizeable 140 basis points (bps) decline in CPI inflation this fiscal, opening space for monetary easing. We believe the RBI will cut rates by another 25-bps this year," the report added.

India’s consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation increased marginally to 2.1 per cent in August, up from 1.6 per cent in July, surpassing the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) lower tolerance band of 2 per cent, according to official data.

 

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