New Delhi, Aug 25
Fitch Ratings has affirmed India's credit rating at 'BBB-' with a stable outlook, supported by the country’s robust economic growth and solid external finances.
"India's economic outlook remains strong relative to peers, even as momentum has moderated in the past two years, said the rating agency. "We forecast GDP growth of 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 2026 (FY26), unchanged from FY25, and well above the 'BBB' median of 2.5 per cent," Fitch Ratings said in a report on Monday.
Fitch expects the direct impact of the US tariff hike on India’s GDP growth to be modest as exports to the US account for only 2 per cent of GDP. It is also of the view that the 50 per cent tariff hike by the Donald Trump administration will eventually be reduced after trade talks are completed between the two countries.
India’s economic growth, along with macro stability and improving fiscal credibility, is set to drive a steady improvement in its structural metrics, including GDP per capita. This can increase the likelihood that India's debt can trend modestly downward in the medium term, the rating agency observed.