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RBI may go for 1 more rates cut; GST reform and festive spending to boost growth

October 07, 2025

New Delhi, Oct 7

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go for one more rate cut in the coming months as inflation expectations have dropped sharply, a new report said on Tuesday.

The data compiled by the Bank of Baroda said that while the RBI has so far kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent, there is still room for further easing to support growth.

The report added that a reduction in GST rates and festive season spending will play a major role in driving India’s economic growth in the ongoing quarter.

These factors are expected to give a strong push to consumption and help offset global headwinds.

According to the ‘Monthly Economic Buffet’ report for September 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously decided to maintain a neutral policy stance, keeping rates steady while monitoring the impact of tariff changes and GST rationalisation on economic activity.

The RBI has also revised India’s growth projection for FY26 upwards to 6.8 per cent from 6.5 per cent earlier -- reflecting stronger performance in the first half of the fiscal year.

Inflation projections, on the other hand, have been lowered to 2.6 per cent for FY26 from 3.1 per cent previously.

 

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